Alex de Minaur vs Soonwoo KwonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Soonwoo Kwon have met 3 times since 2021; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nature Valley International - Eastbourne in 2021 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 4 sets to Kwon's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Miami Open - Miami (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Soonwoo Kwon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 18% | 5/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 100% | 21/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 90% | 19/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Kwon 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kwon
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Soonwoo Kwon.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 4, 2022
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 25, 2021
Nature Valley International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Soonwoo Kwon | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -0.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -0.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Kwon's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 36 67 26 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 64 60 | W 62 76 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | W 64 60 | W 62 76 |
| Leandro Riedi | W 63 62 61 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Alejandro Moro Canas
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Martin Landaluce
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Arthur Gea
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Anton Matusevich
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Millen Hurrion
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 81% |
| Sets won | 62% | 76% |
| Games won | 54% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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