Alex de Minaur vs Soonwoo KwonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Soonwoo Kwon have met 3 times since 2021; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nature Valley International - Eastbourne in 2021 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 4 sets to Kwon's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Miami Open - Miami (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Soonwoo Kwon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 17% | 5/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 100% | 22/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Kwon 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kwon
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Soonwoo Kwon.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 4, 2022
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 25, 2021
Nature Valley International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +62.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +0.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Minaur and Kwon posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 36 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Sumit Nagal
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Alejandro Moro Canas
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Martin Landaluce
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Arthur Gea
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 84% |
| Sets won | 63% | 78% |
| Games won | 54% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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