Alex de Minaur vs Marco CecchinatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Marco Cecchinato have met 7 times since 2018; Alex de Minaur leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2018 on grass. On clay courts Cecchinato leads 3–1. On grass courts Minaur leads 2–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 12 sets to Cecchinato's 10. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Cecchinato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Marco Cecchinato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 77% | 33/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 34% | 25/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 79% | 38/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 69% | 33/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Cecchinato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marco Cecchinato.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 5, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
May 5, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Jul 3, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Cecchinato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Marco Cecchinato | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 40% | 8/20 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -4.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -0.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cecchinato's 33%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | L 16 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 | L 67 57 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 64 60 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Juan Bautista Torres
Todi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Francesco Forti
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Nick Hardt
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Franco Agamenone
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Umag
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 58% |
| Sets won | 62% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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