Alex de Minaur vs Marco CecchinatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Marco Cecchinato have met 7 times since 2018; Alex de Minaur leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2018 on grass. On clay courts Cecchinato leads 3–1. On grass courts Minaur leads 2–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 12 sets to Cecchinato's 10. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Cecchinato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Marco Cecchinato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 77% | 34/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 32% | 24/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 56% | 22/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 79% | 38/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 71% | 34/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Cecchinato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 5, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
May 5, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Jul 3, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Cecchinato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Marco Cecchinato | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -11.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | POL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cecchinato's 0%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | L 63 06 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | L 16 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 | L 67 57 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Marvin Moeller
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Henri Squire
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejandro Moro Canas
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Nick Hardt
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Vilius Gaubas
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–75 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 59% |
| Sets won | 63% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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