Alex de Minaur vs Lloyd HarrisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Lloyd Harris have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2019 on hard. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 3 sets to Harris's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Lloyd Harris | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Harris 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Harris
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lloyd Harris.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Lloyd Harris | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +1.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +0.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,452 mi · 2,337 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Harris's 75%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 64 60 | W 62 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 57 62 64 | W 64 67 62 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | W 64 60 | L 67 61 16 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 62 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Vit Kopriva
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Darwin Blanch
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Andre Ilagan
Brownsburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Daniel Milavsky
Brownsburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Harry Wendelken
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mees Rottgering
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Andrew Fenty
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 68% |
| Sets won | 62% | 62% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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