Alex de Minaur vs Lloyd HarrisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Lloyd Harris have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2019 on hard. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 3 sets to Harris's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Lloyd Harris | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 52% | 23/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Harris 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Harris
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lloyd Harris.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Lloyd Harris | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 97% | 30/31 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 97% | 30/31 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 84% | 26/31 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 52% | 16/31 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 16% | 5/31 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 2/31 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 25–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +13.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +4.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 7 | 14 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Harris's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | L 67 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | W 64 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 36 63 | L 76 36 67 46 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 62 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alex Bolt
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexis Galarneau
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 70% |
| Sets won | 63% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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