Alex de Minaur vs Kamil MajchrzakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Kamil Majchrzak have met 4 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 3–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Majchrzak leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 8 sets to Majchrzak's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Majchrzak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Kamil Majchrzak | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 86% | 18/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 50% | 13/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Majchrzak 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Majchrzak
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kamil Majchrzak.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2026
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1
H Hard · Rubber 4
Jun 14, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Final
Oct 6, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Majchrzak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Kamil Majchrzak | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -24.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -3.38u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Majchrzak's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 64 16 26 |
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | L 67 16 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 26 63 16 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | W 26 63 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | L 46 64 67 26 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 63 63 63 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 46 67 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Mattia Bellucci
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Duckworth
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 47% |
| Sets won | 63% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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