Alex de Minaur vs Kamil MajchrzakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Kamil Majchrzak have met 3 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Majchrzak leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Majchrzak's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kamil Majchrzak won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Majchrzak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Kamil Majchrzak | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Majchrzak 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Majchrzak
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kamil Majchrzak.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Final
Oct 6, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Majchrzak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Kamil Majchrzak | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +34.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +5.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Majchrzak's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 46 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 76 36 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | L 67 16 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 64 60 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | W 75 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 57 62 64 | L 62 26 76 46 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | W 76 61 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommy Paul
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zachary Svajda
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Alejandro Tabilo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jiri Lehecka
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 49% |
| Sets won | 62% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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