Alex de Minaur vs Jordan ThompsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Jordan Thompson have met 6 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 4–0. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Minaur has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 12 sets to Thompson's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Thompson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jordan Thompson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 3, Thompson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Thompson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jordan Thompson.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Mar 26, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 10, 2021
Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 11, 2019
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2019
Sydney
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 3, 2019
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | - |
| ROI % | -16.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Thompson's 0%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 76 67 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 36 67 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | L 76 36 26 46 |
| Jurij Rodionov | W 64 61 | L 46 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 75 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nuno Borges
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Jurij Rodionov
Noumea Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Noumea Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Emile Hudd
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Erik Arutiunian
Sioux Falls Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Michael Mmoh
Sioux Falls Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Dan Added
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 54% |
| Sets won | 62% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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