Alex de Minaur vs Jiri LeheckaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlex de Minaur
#7 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 4โ4

๐จ๐ฟJiri Lehecka
#19 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Alex de Minaur and Jiri Lehecka have met 3 times since 2023; Alex de Minaur leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, World Group, QF, CZE-AUS 1-2 in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 4 sets to Lehecka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Lehecka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jiri Lehecka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 0, Lehecka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
๐ช Counterpuncher
Lehecka
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jiri Lehecka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jun 17, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Nov 22, 2023
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, CZE-AUS 1-2
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Lehecka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Jiri Lehecka | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13โ6 | 9โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -17.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -2.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | USA โ CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Lehecka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Minaur's 60%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | W 64 67 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | W 64 75 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | W 63 64 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | W 67 64 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | L 46 57 63 67 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 62 | W 76 64 26 62 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | W 64 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Matteo Berrettini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Alexander Blockx
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Vit Kopriva
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coleman Wong
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 7
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 61% |
| Sets won | 62% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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