Alex de Minaur vs James DuckworthPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and James Duckworth have met 3 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–0. Minaur has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 7 sets to Duckworth's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Duckworth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | James Duckworth | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 70% | 28/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 33% | 22/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 83% | 30/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Duckworth 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Duckworth
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James Duckworth.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 28, 2022
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Duckworth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | James Duckworth | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +13.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +1.91u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Duckworth's 13%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | W 75 76 | L 46 62 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | L 46 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | L 67 63 67 16 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | W 63 41 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 16 76 46 57 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | L 63 46 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 16 46 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | L 76 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Mariano Navone
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Quinn Vandecasteele
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
J.J. Wolf
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Christopher O'Connell
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 71–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 59% |
| Sets won | 62% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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