Alex de Minaur vs James DuckworthPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlex de Minaur
#9 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 7โ0

๐ฆ๐บJames Duckworth
#64 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
44Alex de Minaur and James Duckworth have met 3 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2โ0. Minaur has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 7 sets to Duckworth's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Duckworth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | James Duckworth | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 33% | 21/64 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 80% | 28/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Duckworth 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
๐ช Counterpuncher
Duckworth
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James Duckworth.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Jul 28, 2022
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Duckworth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | James Duckworth | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ5 | 8โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +1.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi ยท 9,208 km | 1,032 mi ยท 1,661 km |
| Route | GBR โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Duckworth's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | L 36 67 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | W 63 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 63 63 | L 62 36 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 57 63 62 76 |
| Arthur Fery | W 75 76 | L |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | L 46 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | L 67 63 67 16 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | W |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 16 76 46 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 16 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing ยท Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 20
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Lorenzo Sonego
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matteo Arnaldi
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 69โ71 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 58% |
| Sets won | 63% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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