Alex de Minaur vs David GoffinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and David Goffin have met 6 times since 2021; Alex de Minaur leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Antalya Open - Antalya in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 6–0. Minaur has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 12 sets to Goffin's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Goffin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | David Goffin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 5, Goffin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 4, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 14, 2024
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 13, 2022
Davis Cup, Group C, Hamburg
H Hard · Rubber 2
Feb 7, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 12, 2021
Antalya Open - Antalya
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Goffin's 33%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Guerrieri | W 62 62 64 | L 63 57 26 |
| Toby Samuel | W 64 64 62 | L 75 36 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 75 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Clement Chidekh
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Mark Lajal
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 24% |
| Sets won | 63% | 33% |
| Games won | 54% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
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