Alex de Minaur vs David GoffinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and David Goffin have met 6 times since 2021; Alex de Minaur leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Antalya Open - Antalya in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 6–0. Minaur has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 12 sets to Goffin's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Goffin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | David Goffin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 5, Goffin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 4, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 14, 2024
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 13, 2022
Davis Cup, Group C, Hamburg
H Hard · Rubber 2
Feb 7, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 12, 2021
Antalya Open - Antalya
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Goffin's 33%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Toby Samuel | W 64 64 62 | L 75 36 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 75 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 36 76 | L 46 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Roberto Bautista Agut
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 36% |
| Sets won | 62% | 43% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
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