Alex de Minaur vs Daniel AltmaierPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Daniel Altmaier have met 2 times since 2025; Alex de Minaur leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–0. Minaur has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Altmaier's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at US Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Altmaier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Daniel Altmaier | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 17% | 5/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 28% | 15/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 74% | 14/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Altmaier 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Altmaier
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Altmaier.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 7, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Altmaier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Daniel Altmaier | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.77 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -10.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -1.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Altmaier's 20%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | W 36 63 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 57 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 63 63 | L 67 06 |
| Andrea Guerrieri | W 62 62 64 | W 64 46 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 57 62 64 | L 36 16 76 26 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 57 63 57 | L 46 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 26 16 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | L 46 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | L 16 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | L 64 46 64 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Ben Shelton
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Holger Rune
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Zachary Svajda
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 41% |
| Sets won | 63% | 41% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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