Alex de Minaur vs Daniel AltmaierPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Daniel Altmaier have met 2 times since 2025; Alex de Minaur leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–0. Minaur has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Altmaier's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at US Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Altmaier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Daniel Altmaier | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 20% | 6/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 27% | 15/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Altmaier 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Altmaier
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Altmaier.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 7, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Altmaier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Daniel Altmaier | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +39.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +6.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Altmaier's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 57 63 57 | L 46 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 26 16 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 63 36 | W 63 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | L 46 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | L 16 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | W 64 67 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | W 75 63 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 46 64 | W 36 63 75 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 67 06 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | L 64 46 64 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Vukic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Raphael Collignon
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 43% |
| Sets won | 62% | 43% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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