Alex de Minaur vs Benjamin BonziPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Benjamin Bonzi have met 5 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group C, Hamburg in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 3–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 9 sets to Bonzi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Bonzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Benjamin Bonzi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 64% | 21/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 35% | 19/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Bonzi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bonzi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 24, 2023
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 21, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 18, 2022
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 15, 2022
Davis Cup, Group C, Hamburg
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Bonzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Benjamin Bonzi | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +23.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +3.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 3,309 mi · 5,326 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bonzi's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | W 76 64 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | W 26 76 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | W 64 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | L 06 76 64 36 46 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | L 61 64 67 36 13 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | W 64 36 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | L 36 46 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 46 75 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 46 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 76 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Semifinals
Aug 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Quentin Halys
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Kamil Majchrzak
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Justin Boulais
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 57% |
| Sets won | 62% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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