Alex de Minaur vs Arthur FeryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Arthur Fery have met 1 time since 2026; Alex de Minaur leads 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 2 sets to Fery's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Fery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Arthur Fery | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 38% | 13/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Fery 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fery
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Fery.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Fery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Arthur Fery | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 14–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +24.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +5.22u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fery's 70%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 63 | W 61 75 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | W 64 26 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 36 63 | L 16 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | L 67 26 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | W 64 76 60 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 75 | W 26 75 26 76 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | W 62 46 75 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 67 63 46 |
| Toby Samuel | W 64 64 62 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Final
Aug 29
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
James Duckworth
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 67% |
| Sets won | 62% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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