Alex Bolt vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2024; Mattia Bellucci leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Kobe Challenger in 2024 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 3 sets to Bellucci's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Terra Wortmann Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 1, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Bolt and Mattia Bellucci are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 2, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 14, 2024
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | +1.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bolt's 0%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 76 06 36 | W 57 62 63 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 63 67 | W 63 75 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 | W 76 63 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 26 76 26 | W 76 57 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–57 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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