Alex Bolt vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2024; Mattia Bellucci leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Kobe Challenger in 2024 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 3 sets to Bellucci's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Terra Wortmann Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 31% | 19/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 1, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Bolt and Mattia Bellucci are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 2, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 14, 2024
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 10 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Bolt's 17%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Lloyd Harris | L 57 46 | L 61 36 67 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 67 | W 46 75 76 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 63 67 | W 75 62 |
| Filip Peliwo | W 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 76 06 36 | W 57 62 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–66 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 55% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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