Alex Bolt vs Marc PolmansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Marc Polmans have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Playford in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Bolt leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 5 sets to Polmans's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marc Polmans won at Workday Canberra International (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Marc Polmans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 93% | 27/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, Polmans 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Polmans
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2026
Workday Canberra International
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 13, 2025
Brisbane 3 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 30, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 4, 2018
Playford
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Marc Polmans | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 3.71 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | -57.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | -1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Polmans's 44%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mackenzie | W 46 61 76 | W 75 26 61 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 57 26 | L 57 57 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 64 76 | L 46 63 57 |
| James McCabe | W 75 76 | L 26 67 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 63 67 46 | L 67 57 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 76 64 | L 57 36 |
| Pavle Marinkov | W 63 75 | W 62 63 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 64 | W 16 76 63 |
| Filip Peliwo | W 64 62 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Grigor Dimitrov
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 23
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Tristan Schoolkate
Mexico City Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 8
Rodrigo Alujas
Mexico City Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 6
Chris Rodesch
Morelia Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 25
Facundo Mena
Morelia Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–53 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 67% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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