Alex Bolt vs Marc PolmansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Marc Polmans have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Playford in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Bolt leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 5 sets to Polmans's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marc Polmans won at Workday Canberra International (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Marc Polmans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, Polmans 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Polmans
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2026
Workday Canberra International
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 13, 2025
Brisbane 3 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 30, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 4, 2018
Playford
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Polmans's 44%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 76 | W 16 76 63 |
| Abedallah Shelbayh | L 26 36 | W 63 76 |
| James McCabe | W 76 76 | L 26 67 |
| Jamie Mackenzie | W 46 61 76 | W 76 61 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 63 36 67 | L 26 67 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 64 76 | L 46 63 57 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 63 67 46 | L 67 57 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 76 64 | L 57 36 |
| Pavle Marinkov | W 63 75 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Sebastian Gorzny
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Grigor Dimitrov
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 23
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Jamie Mackenzie
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–58 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 58% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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