Dane Sweeny vs Marc PolmansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dane Sweeny and Marc Polmans have met 5 times since 2023; Marc Polmans leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Canberra Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Polmans leads 3–2. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Sweeny has taken 5 sets to Polmans's 8. Their most recent meeting: Marc Polmans won at M25 Brisbane (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sweeny | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dane Sweeny | Marc Polmans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 35/52 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/74 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 31/51 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 17/26 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 41/48 | 93% | 27/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 35/48 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sweeny 0, Polmans 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sweeny
⚙️ Grinder
Polmans
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 26, 2025
M25 Brisbane
H Hard · Final
Sep 20, 2025
M25 Tamworth 2
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 14, 2025
M25 Tamworth 1
H Hard · Final
Sep 21, 2023
Zhuhai Open - Zhuhai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 4, 2023
Canberra Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sweeny | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dane Sweeny | Marc Polmans | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 3.71 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -57.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.35u | -1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sweeny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Polmans's 40%).
| Opponent | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Grigor Dimitrov | L 67 36 57 | L 16 67 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 67 67 | L 57 57 |
| James McCabe | L 76 16 67 | L 26 67 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 63 16 61 | L 46 63 57 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 36 76 76 | L 67 57 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 61 61 | W 62 76 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 46 | W 76 75 |
| Pavle Marinkov | W 60 61 | W 62 63 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 67 63 62 | L 57 36 |
| Filip Peliwo | W 63 62 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Duncan Chan
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Andres Martin
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tomas Barrios Vera
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Darwin Blanch
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Franco Roncadelli
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Grigor Dimitrov
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 23
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Tristan Schoolkate
Mexico City Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 8
Rodrigo Alujas
Mexico City Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 6
Chris Rodesch
Morelia Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 25
Facundo Mena
Morelia Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–78 matches
| Metric | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 67% |
| Sets won | 63% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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