Dane Sweeny vs Marc PolmansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dane Sweeny and Marc Polmans have met 5 times since 2023; Marc Polmans leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Canberra Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Polmans leads 3–2. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Sweeny has taken 5 sets to Polmans's 8. Their most recent meeting: Marc Polmans won at M25 Brisbane (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sweeny | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dane Sweeny | Marc Polmans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 26/41 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 12/28 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 27/69 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 17/26 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 18/31 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 26/40 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sweeny 0, Polmans 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sweeny
🎾 All-Court
Polmans
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 26, 2025
M25 Brisbane
H Hard · Final
Sep 20, 2025
M25 Tamworth 2
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 14, 2025
M25 Tamworth 1
H Hard · Final
Sep 21, 2023
Zhuhai Open - Zhuhai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 4, 2023
Canberra Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.86 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +54.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.13u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sweeny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Polmans's 38%).
| Opponent | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 36 63 62 | L 67 57 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 67 | W 76 75 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | L 67 36 57 | L 16 67 |
| James McCabe | L 76 16 67 | L 26 67 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 63 16 61 | L 46 63 57 |
| Pavle Marinkov | W 60 61 | W 62 63 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 67 63 62 | L 57 36 |
| Yuichiro Inui | W 63 62 | W 63 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Tristan Schoolkate
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Petr Bar Biryukov
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Luciano Darderi
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lorenzo Musetti
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sebastian Gorzny
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Grigor Dimitrov
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 23
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Jamie Mackenzie
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–76 matches
| Metric | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 58% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sweeny | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.