Marc Polmans vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บMarc Polmans
#366 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
10w5 meetings ยท sets 4โ8

๐ฏ๐ตYuta Shimizu
#388 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
3Marc Polmans and Yuta Shimizu have met 5 times since 2022; Yuta Shimizu leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Sydney Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Shimizu leads 3โ2. Shimizu has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Polmans has taken 4 sets to Shimizu's 8. Their most recent meeting: Yuta Shimizu won at Playford Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Polmans | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marc Polmans | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 39% | 19/49 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 27/29 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Polmans 0, Shimizu 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Polmans
๐น Frontrunner
Shimizu
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs โ๏ธ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 26, 2024
Playford Challenger
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Nov 22, 2023
Yokohama Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2023
Playford Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
May 2, 2023
Gwangju Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Nov 2, 2022
Sydney Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Polmans | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marc Polmans | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Polmans | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ2 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 3.71 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -57.0% | +8.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.71u | +0.98u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Polmans | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Polmans has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shimizu's 50%).
| Opponent | Polmans | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 16 76 63 | W 75 75 |
| Jake Delaney | W 63 62 | W 62 76 |
| Alex Bolt | W 76 75 | L 36 46 |
| Kaichi Uchida | W 36 64 76 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Grigor Dimitrov
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 2
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Tristan Schoolkate
Mexico City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Apr 8
Rodrigo Alujas
Mexico City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Apr 6
Chris Rodesch
Morelia Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Mar 25
Facundo Mena
Morelia Challenger ยท 1st Round
Mar 24
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Liam Broady
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jay Friend
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Granby Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Ryan Colby
M25 Laval ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Michael Mmoh
Cary Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ49 matches
| Metric | Polmans | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 49% |
| Sets won | 62% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Polmans | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Polmans | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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