Dane Sweeny vs Pavle MarinkovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dane Sweeny and Pavle Marinkov have met 5 times since 2025; Dane Sweeny leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Brisbane 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sweeny leads 5–0. Sweeny has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Sweeny has taken 10 sets to Marinkov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Dane Sweeny won at Brisbane 3 Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sweeny | Marinkov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dane Sweeny | Pavle Marinkov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 26/41 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 12/28 | 17% | 4/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 27/69 | 23% | 13/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 17/26 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 18/31 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 26/40 | 82% | 23/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sweeny 3, Marinkov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sweeny
🎾 All-Court
Marinkov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 10, 2025
Brisbane 3 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2025
M25 Perth 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 12, 2025
M25 Tamworth 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2025
M15 Brisbane 2
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 8, 2025
M15 Brisbane 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.86 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +54.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.13u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sweeny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Marinkov's 30%).
| Opponent | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bolt | L 36 67 | L 36 57 |
| Duncan Chan | W 64 61 | L 67 26 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 26 76 40 | W 76 36 63 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 63 62 | L 16 16 |
| James McCabe | L 76 16 67 | L 26 67 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 61 61 | W 63 61 |
| Yuichiro Inui | W 63 62 | W 62 61 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 62 61 | L 16 57 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 63 63 | L 46 63 16 |
| Finn Bass | W 36 61 63 | L 26 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Tristan Schoolkate
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Petr Bar Biryukov
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Luciano Darderi
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lorenzo Musetti
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Christian Langmo
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Mikael Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Yibing Wu
Lincoln Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Ronit Karki
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Christian Langmo
M25 Tulsa · 1st Round
Jun 16
Duncan Chan
M25 Wichita · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Ryan Colby
M25 Wichita · 1st Round
Jun 9
Masamichi Imamura
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–76 matches
| Metric | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
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