Dane Sweeny vs Pavle MarinkovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dane Sweeny and Pavle Marinkov have met 5 times since 2025; Dane Sweeny leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Brisbane 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sweeny leads 5–0. Sweeny has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Sweeny has taken 10 sets to Marinkov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Dane Sweeny won at Brisbane 3 Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sweeny | Marinkov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dane Sweeny | Pavle Marinkov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 35/52 | 78% | 31/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/74 | 22% | 14/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 31/51 | 73% | 24/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 17/26 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 41/48 | 97% | 35/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 35/48 | 86% | 31/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sweeny 3, Marinkov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sweeny
⚙️ Grinder
Marinkov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavle Marinkov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 10, 2025
Brisbane 3 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2025
M25 Perth 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 12, 2025
M25 Tamworth 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2025
M15 Brisbane 2
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 8, 2025
M15 Brisbane 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -11.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.35u | -0.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sweeny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Marinkov's 50%).
| Opponent | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Duncan Chan | W 64 61 | L 67 26 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 26 76 40 | W 76 36 63 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 63 62 | L 16 16 |
| Colin Sinclair | L 62 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 61 61 | W 63 61 |
| Arjun Mehrotra | W 64 75 | W 61 63 |
| Yuichiro Inui | W 63 62 | W 62 61 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 62 61 | L 16 57 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 63 63 | L 46 63 16 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 46 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Duncan Chan
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Andres Martin
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tomas Barrios Vera
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Darwin Blanch
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Franco Roncadelli
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Yibing Wu
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Ronit Karki
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Christian Langmo
M25 Tulsa · 1st Round
Jun 16
Duncan Chan
M25 Wichita · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Ryan Colby
M25 Wichita · 1st Round
Jun 9
Masamichi Imamura
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Justin Boulais
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Kokoro Isomura
M25 Luzhou · 1st Round
Apr 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–78 matches
| Metric | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 62% |
| Sets won | 63% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sweeny | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
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