Alex Bolt vs Dane SweenyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Dane Sweeny have met 3 times since 2022; Alex Bolt leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Sydney Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Bolt leads 3–0. Bolt has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 6 sets to Sweeny's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Jingshan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Sweeny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Dane Sweeny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 63% | 26/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 39% | 27/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 55% | 22/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 80% | 32/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 65% | 26/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 3, Sweeny 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Sweeny
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
Jingshan Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 15, 2025
Brisbane 3 Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 1, 2022
Sydney Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Sweeny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Dane Sweeny | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | +54.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | +8.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sweeny's 40%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 63 67 46 | W 36 63 62 |
| Omar Jasika | W 64 63 | W 62 36 63 |
| James McCabe | W 76 76 | L 76 16 67 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 75 63 | W 26 76 40 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 57 26 | L 67 67 |
| Arthur Fery | L 46 76 36 | L 46 64 16 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 63 64 | L 57 57 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 64 76 | W 63 16 61 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 | L 36 26 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 63 36 63 | L 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Tristan Schoolkate
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Petr Bar Biryukov
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Luciano Darderi
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lorenzo Musetti
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–76 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 59% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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