Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAleksandar Kovacevic
#81 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
32 meetings Β· sets 0β4

πΊπΈBrandon Nakashima
#19 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
3Aleksandar Kovacevic and Brandon Nakashima have met 2 times since 2026; Brandon Nakashima leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2β0. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kovacevic has taken 0 sets to Nakashima's 4. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovacevic | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 17/34 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 29/59 | 32% | 16/50 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 8/16 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 27/41 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 23/44 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 13/26 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovacevic 0, Nakashima 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovacevic
π€ Servebot
Nakashima
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Aleksandar Kovacevic and Brandon Nakashima are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovacevic | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β8 | 15β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -8.5% | +27.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.11u | +5.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi Β· 5,105 km | 7,032 mi Β· 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN β JPN β CHN | GBR β JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kovacevic's 10%).
| Opponent | Kovacevic | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | L 76 16 46 | W 76 75 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 26 36 57 | W 26 62 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 61 76 | W 67 64 57 61 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 63 67 | L 57 36 |
| Nuno Borges | L 76 26 46 | W 63 67 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 16 06 46 | W 76 64 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 64 67 46 | W 46 62 75 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 67 | W 62 61 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 76 46 06 | L 36 64 67 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 46 76 26 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 7
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Zachary Svajda
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 3rd Round
Aug 27
Luca Van Assche
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round
Aug 25
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 58β63 matches
| Metric | Kovacevic | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 60% |
| Sets won | 43% | 59% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovacevic | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovacevic | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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