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Head-to-Head

Alejandro Tabilo vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alejandro Tabilo

🇨🇱Alejandro Tabilo

#30 · 29 yrs · L

3–3

6 meetings · sets 7–7

Juan Pablo Varillas

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas

#200 · 30 yrs · R

Alejandro Tabilo and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Cali in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 3–2. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 7 sets to Varillas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Davis Cup, World Group, Q, CHI-PER 3-2 (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorTabiloPablo Varillas
Wins in straight sets50%62%
Wins a set when losing46%30%
Goes to a deciding set48%35%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite38%25%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog61%75%
Tiebreak sets won38%52%
Wins after taking set 175%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 150%65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 2, Pablo Varillas 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Tabilo

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Varillas

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Feb 3, 2024

Davis Cup, World Group, Q, CHI-PER 3-2

H Hard · Rubber 1

46
62
61
Tabilo

Sep 18, 2022

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-CHI 2-3

C Clay · Rubber 4

61
46
46
Varillas

Mar 12, 2022

Santiago Challenger

C Clay · Semifinals

766
61
Tabilo

Aug 4, 2021

Cordenons Challenger

C Clay · 1st Round

46
46
Varillas

Apr 8, 2019

Tallahassee

C Clay · Round of 64

61
7866
Tabilo

Jul 5, 2016

Cali

C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying

46
26
Varillas

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeTabiloVarillas
1 or more94%100%
3 or more94%53%
5 or more75%41%
10 or more19%6%
15 or more6%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricTabiloVarillas
W-L7–1012–6
Avg odds2.372.12
ROI %-5.3%+32.2%
Units P/L-0.90u+5.79u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricTabiloVarillas
Countries21
Events31
Matches43
Distance3,172 mi · 5,105 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteCHN → JPN → CHNARG

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Varillas's 50%).

OpponentTabiloVarillas
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
L
26
61
16
W
57
76
63
Francesco Passaro
W
46
76
62
W
75
61
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
63
64
L
46
26
Lautaro Midon
W
64
67
64
L
67
46
Gonzalo Villanueva
W
75
64
W
63
75
Facundo Diaz Acosta
W
76
63
L
36
67

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Tabilo
LLWLLLWW
L

Pablo Carreno Busta

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
627
46

Oct 10

L

Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

57
63
46

Oct 3

W

Tommy Paul

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

61
62

Sep 30

L

Adrian Mannarino

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round

46
46

Sep 25

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1

75
36
36

Sep 19

L

Alexander Zverev

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

26
627
26

Sep 6

W

Alexei Popyrin

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

26
764
763
62

Sep 3

W

Yannick Hanfmann

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62
677
63

Aug 31

Varillas
LLWWWWLW
L

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round

36
16

Oct 6

L

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals

26
46

Sep 25

W

Murkel Dellien

Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round

46
75
64

Sep 23

W

Tomas Farjat

Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round

36
62
762

Sep 22

W

Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5

62
64

Sep 19

W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2

57
766
63

Sep 18

L

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals

16
667

Sep 11

W

Francesco Passaro

Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round

75
61

Sep 10

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Tabilolevel↓ Varillas

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–72 matches

MetricTabiloVarillas
Matches won56%59%
Sets won52%55%
Games won52%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageTabiloVarillas
Other11
ATP Challenger Tour22

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceTabiloVarillas
Hard10
Clay23

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Alejandro Tabilo vs Juan Pablo Varillas FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 3–3 over 6 meetings.