Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2021; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 29% | 14/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 1, Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 1, 2022
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 20, 2021
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–10 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | +14.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | +2.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tabilo's 40%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | L 67 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | W 67 64 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | L 75 06 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 63 64 | W 57 75 46 62 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | W 61 75 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 63 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | W 63 76 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 61 | W 64 67 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 67 36 | W 75 16 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 57 36 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 63% |
| Sets won | 52% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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