Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#28 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
33 meetings ยท sets 2โ4

๐ฆ๐ทFrancisco Cerundolo
#25 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
4Alejandro Tabilo and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2021; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 1, Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Cerundolo
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 1, 2022
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 20, 2021
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ9 | 5โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km | 3,258 mi ยท 5,243 km |
| Route | USA โ CAN โ USA | MEX โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tabilo's 50%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 63 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | W 63 76 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 64 76 | W 67 63 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 61 | W 64 67 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 67 36 | W 75 16 76 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 26 76 | L 67 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 46 63 | L 67 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 57 36 | W 62 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | W 60 46 75 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 63 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London ยท Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 61% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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