Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨π±Alejandro Tabilo
#30 Β· 29 yrs Β· L
4 meetings Β· sets 2β6

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Alejandro Tabilo and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2020; Frances Tiafoe leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Newport Beach Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 3β1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 2 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Newport Beach (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 1, Tiafoe 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
π€ Servebot
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2024
Newport Beach
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Aug 6, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Jan 29, 2020
Newport Beach Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β10 | 13β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi Β· 5,105 km | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN β JPN β CHN | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tabilo's 50%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | W 64 64 |
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | L 57 64 67 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 64 36 36 57 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 63 36 46 | W 57 36 75 63 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | L 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | W 76 64 76 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 76 76 62 | W 36 64 76 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | W 63 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | W 67 76 64 67 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 63 76 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP Β· Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 63β73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 71% |
| Sets won | 52% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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