Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2020; Frances Tiafoe leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Newport Beach Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 3–1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 2 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Newport Beach (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 1, Tiafoe 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2024
Newport Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 6, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 29, 2020
Newport Beach Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tabilo's 50%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 64 76 | W 75 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 26 76 | W 76 75 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | W 67 76 64 67 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 63 76 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 46 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | W 36 63 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 46 | W 64 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 63 67 46 | L 46 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 61 | W 64 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 66% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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