Alejandro Tabilo vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Denis Shapovalov have met 1 time since 2026; Denis Shapovalov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 1 sets to Shapovalov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 3, 2026
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tabilo's 30%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 64 67 46 | L 36 67 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 76 36 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 46 | W 67 63 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 76 46 64 | W 64 76 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 67 76 36 46 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 76 36 63 | W 60 64 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 67 36 | W 64 46 64 61 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | L 57 64 57 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 46 | W 26 63 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 36 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–72 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 56% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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