Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title3 meetings ยท sets 1โ5

๐ฌ๐ทStefanos Tsitsipas
#43 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2021; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2โ0. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tsitsipas leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 1 sets to Tsitsipas's 5. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Tsitsipas
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Final
Feb 8, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 17โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | +4.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 1,092 mi ยท 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fokina's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | W 64 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 62 | L 64 67 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 61 75 | W 62 30 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | W 26 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 36 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 76 75 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | L 67 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 46 63 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | W 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ58 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 62% |
| Sets won | 63% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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