Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇭🇷Marin Cilic
#80 · 38 yrs · R
4Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Marin Cilic have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at bett1HULKS Indoors - Cologne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 2 sets to Cilic's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 2, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 15, 2020
bett1HULKS Indoors - Cologne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +22.7% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.82u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cilic's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | L 75 26 26 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 67 36 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 76 63 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | W 64 61 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 57 36 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 75 46 36 | W 67 64 75 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 61 64 | W 75 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 46 46 63 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | L 26 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 26 75 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 50% |
| Sets won | 63% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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