Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander BublikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title2 meetings · sets 4–4
🇰🇿Alexander Bublik
#22 · 29 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alexander Bublik have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2021 on clay. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Bublik's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Bublik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Alexander Bublik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 30% | 14/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Bublik 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 20, 2021
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Bublik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Alexander Bublik | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +24.0% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.16u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fokina's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | W 46 76 76 46 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 67 63 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | W 64 64 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | L 46 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | L 46 67 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | W 67 76 75 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | L 46 63 76 16 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 67 46 | L 46 67 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | W 63 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–59 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 61% |
| Sets won | 63% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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