Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w32 meetings · sets 1–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wAjla Tomljanovic and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 1 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 28, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomljanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 38%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Montgomery | L 46 26 | W 06 64 75 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | W 75 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 76 63 | L 26 26 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | L 76 36 46 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 61 | W 46 76 64 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 64 64 | L 26 67 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 06 36 | L 26 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–45 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 58% |
| Sets won | 54% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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