Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#108 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
15w33 meetings · sets 1–6
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2021; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 1 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 61% | 11/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 16/38 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 12/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 17, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.47 |
| ROI % | - | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tomljanovic's 60%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | W 76 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 63 61 | W 62 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 64 | W 61 62 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 26 75 46 | W 62 63 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 61 75 | W 62 62 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | W 64 67 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 46 63 75 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | W 75 61 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | W 63 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–72 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 83% |
| Sets won | 55% | 74% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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