Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w33 meetings · sets 1–6
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8Ajla Tomljanovic and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2021; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 1 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 17, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | +0.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Tomljanovic's 50%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 64 | W 61 62 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 26 75 46 | W 62 63 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 61 75 | W 62 62 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | W 64 67 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | L 63 16 67 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 46 63 75 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | W 75 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 06 36 | W 26 63 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | W 63 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–70 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 81% |
| Sets won | 54% | 73% |
| Games won | 51% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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