Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Daniil Medvedev have met 9 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at 's-Hertogenbosch in 2016 on grass. On grass courts they are level 3–3. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–1. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 9 sets to Medvedev's 14. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 2, Medvedev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Sep 28, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 7, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 11, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 7, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 9, 2016
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 36 76 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 16 63 64 | L 57 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 62 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 46 06 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 26 26 | W 36 63 75 62 |
| Marin Cilic | L 36 26 | W 61 62 64 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 64 67 62 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 64 26 46 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | L 26 61 16 61 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–66 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 70% |
| Sets won | 37% | 65% |
| Games won | 47% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 3 | 3 |
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