Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Daniil Medvedev have met 9 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at 's-Hertogenbosch in 2016 on grass. On grass courts they are level 3–3. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–1. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 9 sets to Medvedev's 14. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 2, Medvedev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Sep 28, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 7, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 11, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 7, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 9, 2016
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Medvedev posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | L 36 75 46 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 76 62 | W 61 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 64 64 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 36 63 63 63 | W 63 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 36 76 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 16 63 64 | L 57 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 62 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 46 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–68 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 72% |
| Sets won | 38% | 66% |
| Games won | 46% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 3 | 3 |
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