Adrian Mannarino vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Brandon Nakashima have met 3 times since 2022; Adrian Mannarino leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 4 sets to Nakashima's 4. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 31% | 16/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Nakashima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 10, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 11, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 17, 2022
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 5% | 1/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +27.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +5.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | L 76 36 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 64 57 57 | W 76 75 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | L 67 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 36 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | W 61 36 107 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | L 36 46 46 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 63 67 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 76 57 75 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 46 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–60 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 60% |
| Sets won | 38% | 59% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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