Adrian Mannarino vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Brandon Nakashima have met 3 times since 2022; Adrian Mannarino leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 4 sets to Nakashima's 4. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 29% | 16/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Nakashima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 10, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 11, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 17, 2022
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 43% | 9/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 10% | 2/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 16–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +8.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 13 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mannarino's 30%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 63 67 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 76 57 75 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 46 62 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | W 76 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | W 76 36 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 67 67 | L 76 36 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 46 26 | W 62 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–61 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 61% |
| Sets won | 37% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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