Adam Walton vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Frances Tiafoe have met 2 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2024 on hard. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 0 sets to Tiafoe's 4. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 29/42 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 38/46 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 29/46 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 0, Tiafoe 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adam Walton and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Dec 31, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Walton's 20%).
| Opponent | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 57 | L 67 64 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 57 26 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | W 57 36 75 63 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 16 61 16 64 | W 76 64 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 75 36 | W 67 63 62 |
| Jaime Faria | L 64 46 67 | W 46 67 76 61 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | W 64 46 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 16 | W 57 62 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–80 matches
| Metric | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 71% |
| Sets won | 52% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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