Adam Walton vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊAdam Walton
#93 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
2 meetings Β· sets 0β4

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
4Adam Walton and Frances Tiafoe have met 2 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2024 on hard. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 0 sets to Tiafoe's 4. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 15/34 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 22/38 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 0, Tiafoe 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
π₯ Big Hitter
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adam Walton and Frances Tiafoe are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Dec 31, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 25/25 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 5/25 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β9 | 15β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | +37.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.43u | +7.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi Β· 1,648 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Walton's 20%).
| Opponent | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 75 36 | W 67 63 62 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 06 | W 63 64 |
| Jaime Faria | L 64 46 67 | W 46 67 76 61 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | W 64 46 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 16 | W 57 62 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 64 75 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 67 61 | W 64 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 46 76 26 | W 64 36 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 16 61 16 64 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jesper de Jong
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ignacio Buse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 56β72 matches
| Metric | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 66% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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