ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Musetti plays Brandon Nakashima.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Musetti
1
Nakashima
May 11, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 31, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 20, 2024
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nakashima's 30%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 76 36 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 16 | W 63 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | W 75 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 26 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 63 63 | L 67 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | L 67 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 26 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | W 26 62 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 67 75 46 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Rome on Clay.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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