Grand Slam · Round of 32 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Brandon Nakashima plays Lorenzo Musetti.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | -1.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Nakashima
2
Musetti
May 11, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 31, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 20, 2024
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nakashima's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | W 76 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 63 63 | L 57 16 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 63 | W 75 36 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 46 26 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 67 46 | W 63 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 67 67 | W 64 75 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 26 62 63 | L 67 57 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 46 57 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.3% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.6% | 70% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 7 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 38.6% | 60% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.4% | 43.1% |
| BP Converted % | 56.7% | 29.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.9 | 18.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.7 | 24.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.6% | 71.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Musetti face off in the Round of 32 at US Open on Hard.
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
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