ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Musetti here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | +0.14u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Musetti
1
Cerundolo
May 10, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 27, 2024
Umag
C Clay · Finals
Jul 23, 2022
Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 3, 2020
Cordenons
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | L 63 46 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 75 76 | W 62 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 75 | W 61 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 75 06 26 |
| Tomas Machac | W 57 64 62 57 62 | L 67 36 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 75 46 67 | W 64 57 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | W 63 75 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | W 63 76 63 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 60 61 | L 63 57 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 36 | L 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 65.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 48.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 53.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 33.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 49.4% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 42.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21 | 20.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24 | 31.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.5% | 71.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 54% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Match summary
Lorenzo Musetti meets Francisco Cerundolo in the Round of 32 at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on May 6, playing on outdoor clay. Musetti is ranked 10th, Cerundolo 27th. The two have met three times, with Musetti leading 2-1.
Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches, though he lost his most recent outing after an 11-day layoff. Musetti split his last five but won yesterday following three matches in two weeks. On clay, Musetti holds a 14-6 record (70%), Cerundolo 13-7 (65%). Both players have faced Michelsen and Bonzi recently with opposite results: Cerundolo won those meetings, Musetti lost them.
Musetti constructs points methodically from the baseline, relying on depth and consistency to control rallies. Cerundolo applies heavy hitting and aggressive footwork to shorten points and dictate from inside the court. Both men perform well on clay, but they approach the surface differently. The match asks whether Cerundolo's power and court speed can overcome Musetti's baseline patience and recovery, and whether Musetti can maintain control against Cerundolo's pace without ceding the back of the court.
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