ATP 500 · Semifinals · Hamburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Musetti here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | +0.14u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Musetti
1
Cerundolo
May 10, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 27, 2024
Umag
C Clay · Finals
Jul 23, 2022
Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 3, 2020
Cordenons
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | L 63 46 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 75 76 | W 62 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 75 | W 61 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 75 06 26 |
| Tomas Machac | W 57 64 62 57 62 | L 67 36 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 75 46 67 | W 64 57 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | W 63 75 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | W 63 76 63 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 60 61 | L 63 57 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 36 | L 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 65.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 48.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 53.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 33.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 49.4% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 42.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21 | 20.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24 | 31.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.5% | 71.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 54% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Francisco Cerundolo face off in the Semifinals at Hamburg on Clay.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Francisco Cerundolo is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tommy Paul (Jun 20).
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