ATP 500 · Semifinals · HSBC Championships
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,598 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Brandon Nakashima here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.31u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Cerundolo
0
Nakashima
Jun 18, 2026
HSBC Championships
G Grass · Semifinals
Oct 1, 2020
Split
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nakashima's 38%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | W 75 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 67 62 | W 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 64 67 64 | L 36 64 67 67 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 26 | L 63 36 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 62 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | L 67 75 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 60 46 75 | L 26 67 |
| Jack Draper | L 16 57 | L 46 75 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cerundolo | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.2 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.3% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.5% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.7% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 41.6% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.3 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.3 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.4% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.7% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 100% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Zachary Svajda
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 30
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Semifinals at HSBC Championships on Grass.
Francisco Cerundolo leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Francisco Cerundolo is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Brandon Nakashima (Jun 18).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
Share this match
