Tommy Paul vs Valentin RoyerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Tommy Paul and Valentin Royer have met 1 time since 2026; Tommy Paul leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paul has taken 2 sets to Royer's 0. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tommy Paul | Valentin Royer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 20/41 | 33% | 22/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 51% | 18/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 4/4 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 1, Royer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Royer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paul | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tommy Paul | Valentin Royer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.65 |
| ROI % | +12.2% | -4.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | -0.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paul | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 8 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 2,244 mi · 3,611 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Royer's 20%).
| Opponent | Paul | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | W 46 76 64 | L 16 36 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 26 | W 76 46 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 57 67 | L 46 57 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 61 63 | L 46 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 64 16 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | L 46 57 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 46 | L 57 76 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 76 67 67 | L 67 76 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 62 36 76 | W 64 76 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 46 36 | L 26 75 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Gonzalo Bueno
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Tyler Zink
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Pablo Carreno Busta
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–71 matches
| Metric | Paul | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 51% |
| Sets won | 65% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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