Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2023; Tomas Machac leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Machac has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tsitsipas has taken 3 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tsitsipas | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 13/49 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 12/28 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tsitsipas 0, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tsitsipas | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 16/20 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 5/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–6 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +19.9% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.58u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Machac's 33%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | W 62 75 | L 46 67 |
| Alex Molcan | W 26 63 64 | L 36 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 26 61 76 61 | L 46 76 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 36 67 | L 46 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 57 46 | W 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 57 | W 64 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–58 matches
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 48% |
| Sets won | 60% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.