Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2023; Tomas Machac leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Machac has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tsitsipas has taken 3 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tsitsipas | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 19/25 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 11/26 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tsitsipas 0, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -8.5% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.28u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tsitsipas's 25%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 36 67 | L 46 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 57 46 | W 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 57 | W 64 67 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 75 | L 46 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–46 matches
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 57% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsitsipas | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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