Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฒ๐ฝRodrigo Pacheco Mendez
#294 ยท 21 yrs ยท L
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฆ๐ทSebastian Baez
#50 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mendez has taken 0 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pacheco Mendez | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 19/56 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 11/24 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 28% | 5/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pacheco Mendez 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mendez
๐น Frontrunner
Baez
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐พ All-Court is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 195 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mendez | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mendez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ4 | 14โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.53u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mendez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 691 mi ยท 1,112 km | 3,066 mi ยท 4,934 km |
| Route | MEX โ JAM | CAN โ USA โ MEX โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mendez's 0%).
| Opponent | Mendez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Nava | L 36 46 | W 46 75 63 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 36 26 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 28
Miguel Tobon
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Paul Jubb
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Tomas Barrios Vera
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sho Shimabukuro
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 56โ64 matches
| Metric | Mendez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 55% |
| Sets won | 53% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mendez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mendez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.