Rio Noguchi vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rio Noguchi and Yunchaokete Bu have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Busan Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Noguchi has taken 3 sets to Bu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yunchaokete Bu won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Noguchi | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rio Noguchi | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 22/37 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 25/67 | 24% | 15/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 91% | 40/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Noguchi 1, Bu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yunchaokete Bu.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 9, 2024
Busan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noguchi | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rio Noguchi | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 2.45 |
| ROI % | -35.1% | +46.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.26u | +6.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 754 mi · 1,213 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Noguchi's 0%).
| Opponent | Noguchi | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | L 63 67 26 | W 76 64 |
| Mark Lajal | L 46 46 | L 64 61 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 57 63 36 | W 62 63 |
| Clement Tabur | L 46 46 | L 75 67 46 |
| Keegan Smith | L 36 64 26 | W 64 75 |
| Jie Cui | L 67 67 | W 61 75 |
| Coleman Wong | L 67 26 | L 67 67 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 67 26 | L 67 67 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 46 26 | L 67 46 |
| Alex Bolt | L 67 67 | L 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luca Van Assche
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Kamil Majchrzak
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Michael Zheng
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Michael Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–67 matches
| Metric | Noguchi | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 34% |
| Sets won | 53% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noguchi | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noguchi | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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