Reilly Opelka vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Reilly Opelka and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2025; Tomas Machac leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Machac leads 2–1. Across all meetings Opelka has taken 4 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Opelka | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Reilly Opelka | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 6/20 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 4/8 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Opelka 0, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.95 |
| ROI % | - | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Opelka's 25%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 26 64 61 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 63 57 16 | L 06 61 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 46 | W 26 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–33 matches
| Metric | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 48% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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