Reilly Opelka vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Reilly Opelka and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2025; Tomas Machac leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Machac leads 2–1. Across all meetings Opelka has taken 4 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Opelka | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Reilly Opelka | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 9/12 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 3/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 6/24 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Opelka 0, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.68 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Opelka's 33%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 26 64 61 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 46 36 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 63 57 16 | L 06 61 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 46 | W 26 63 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–31 matches
| Metric | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Opelka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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