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Head-to-Head

Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

🇫🇷Pierre-Hugues Herbert

#290 · 35 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

Sebastian Baez

🇦🇷Sebastian Baez

#49 · 25 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon
Level
ATP 250
Round
1st Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 20 · 6:00 AM ET

Book odds

Pierre-Hugues Herbert1.711.65
Sebastian Baez2.172.27

Set spread

Herbert -1.52.48
Baez +1.51.48

Game spread

Herbert -21.86
Baez +21.86
HerbertHard-court specialist (59%)BaezClay-court specialist (57%)

Record at prices like this

Pierre-Hugues Herbert1.65implies 64%won 69%+5 pts

At 1.65 or shorter, Pierre-Hugues Herbert has won 62 of 90 (69%). The price implied 64%, so Pierre-Hugues Herbert has beaten it by 5 points.

Sebastian Baez2.27implies 36%won 33%−3 pts

At 2.27 or longer, Sebastian Baez has won 20 of 61 (33%). The price implied 36%, so Sebastian Baez has fallen 3 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Sebastian Baez meet next at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon on October 20 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorHerbertBaez
Wins in straight sets55%76%
Wins a set when losing38%23%
Goes to a deciding set41%23%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%61%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog54%54%
Tiebreak sets won39%58%
Wins after taking set 184%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 158%74%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Herbert

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Baez

🎾 All-Court

Tactical versatilityNet approach abilitySurface adaptabilityWell-rounded game

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 827 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pierre-Hugues Herbert.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Herbert and Baez have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeHerbertBaez
1 or more83%71%
3 or more83%29%
5 or more83%12%
10 or more17%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricHerbertBaez
W-L4–47–8
Avg odds2.162.45
ROI %-7.4%-20.9%
Units P/L-0.59u-3.14u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricHerbertBaez
Countries12
Events24
Matches34
Distance308 mi · 495 km7,416 mi · 11,935 km
RouteFRACHN → FRA

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Herbert's 40%).

OpponentHerbertBaez
Maxim Mrva
W
46
63
61
W
64
75
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
L
46
57
W
64
63
Lloyd Harris
L
46
36
W
64
64
Zizou Bergs
L
46
36
L
63
36
26
Titouan Droguet
W
46
62
62
L
46
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Herbert
WWLWLLLW
W

Maxim Mrva

Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · 3rd Round Qualifying

46
63
61

Oct 19

W

Jurij Rodionov

Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying

657
75
60

Oct 18

L

Hugo Gaston

Roanne Challenger · 2nd Round

63
36
46

Oct 14

W

Norbert Gombos

Roanne Challenger · 1st Round

63
62

Oct 13

L

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round

46
57

Sep 28

L

Lorenzo Sonego

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

647
64
36

Aug 24

L

Quinn Vandecasteele

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying

63
647
57

Aug 23

W

Kenta Miyoshi

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying

62
46
62

Aug 22

Baez
LWLLLLWL
L

Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
657

Oct 10

W

Marcos Giron

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

16
63
64

Oct 8

L

Juncheng Shang

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

75
36
57

Oct 1

L

Jenson Brooksby

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round

57
57

Sep 23

L

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

26
16
06

Aug 31

L

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round

Aug 26

W

Hugo Grenier

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

75
762

Aug 26

L

Hubert Hurkacz

Cancun Challenger · Final

64
06
36

Aug 24

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–65 matches

MetricHerbertBaez
Matches won48%54%
Sets won48%52%
Games won51%50%