Nick Kyrgios vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nick Kyrgios and Rafael Nadal have met 8 times since 2016; Rafael Nadal leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Nadal leads 3–2. On clay courts Nadal leads 2–0. Nadal has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nadal leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kyrgios has taken 8 sets to Nadal's 15. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kyrgios | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nick Kyrgios | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 1/1 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 1/4 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kyrgios 1, Nadal 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kyrgios
🤖 Servebot
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Mar 17, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 27, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 4, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Feb 27, 2019
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 8, 2017
Beijing
H Hard · Final
Aug 14, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 10, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
May 11, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kyrgios | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | - |
| ROI % | -8.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.26u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Sho Shimabukuro
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 1st Round
Jan 6
Karen Khachanov
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Jacob Fearnley
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Brisbane · Round of 32
Dec 31
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–4 matches
| Metric | Kyrgios | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | - |
| Sets won | 33% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kyrgios | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kyrgios | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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