Naomi Osaka vs Xi Yao WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naomi Osaka and Xi Yao Wang have met 1 time since 2026; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Wang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Yao Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Xi Yao Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 32% | 12/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 67% | 10/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 1, Yao Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Wang
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 26, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Xi Yao Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.89 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -45.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | -1.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Osaka's 38%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 67 46 | L 26 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 46 26 | L 46 36 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 46 64 63 | W 63 26 62 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 61 63 | W 63 63 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | W 62 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 67 36 | L 67 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Naomi Osaka
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Renata Zarazua
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Madison Keys
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Tamara Korpatsch
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Lilli Tagger
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–43 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 43% |
| Sets won | 67% | 44% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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