Madison Keys vs Xi Yao WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Madison Keys and Xi Yao Wang have met 4 times since 2023; Madison Keys leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 8 sets to Wang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Yao Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Xi Yao Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 32% | 12/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 67% | 10/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 4, Yao Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Wang
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
May 22, 2024
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Xi Yao Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.89 |
| ROI % | -10.3% | -45.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -1.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Wang's 40%).
| Opponent | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | W 75 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 36 62 63 | L 67 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 57 06 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 62 63 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 76 61 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Naomi Osaka
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Renata Zarazua
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Madison Keys
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Tamara Korpatsch
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Lilli Tagger
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 43% |
| Sets won | 65% | 44% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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