Naomi Osaka vs Victoria AzarenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตNaomi Osaka
#13 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 6โ4
๐ง๐พVictoria Azarenka
#452 ยท 36 yrs ยท Right-Handed
52wNaomi Osaka and Victoria Azarenka have met 4 times since 2016; Naomi Osaka leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Osaka leads 2โ0. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Osaka leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 6 sets to Azarenka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at U.S. Open - New York (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Azarenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Victoria Azarenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 1, Azarenka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Azarenka
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 12, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท Final
May 29, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 64
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Jan 20, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | - |
| ROI % | +7.9% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 350 mi ยท 563 km | โ |
| Route | AUT โ CAN | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Aug 29
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Hina Inoue
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Iga Swiatek
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Laura Siegemund
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Sofia Kenin
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 29
Yanina Wickmayer
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 44โ44 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | - |
| Sets won | 67% | - |
| Games won | 57% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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