Naomi Osaka vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 6–7
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#53 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
4Naomi Osaka and Shuai Zhang have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Japan Open Tokyo in 2016 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 6 sets to Zhang's 7. Their most recent meeting: Shuai Zhang won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 2, Zhang 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 9, 2018
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 5, 2017
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 8, 2017
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 15, 2016
Japan Open Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 5 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | -1.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Zhang's 40%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 67 46 | L 36 57 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 46 26 | L 36 26 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 61 | W 62 64 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | W 64 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | L 75 16 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 46 62 | L 36 46 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W 75 62 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–59 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 56% |
| Sets won | 67% | 54% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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