Naomi Osaka vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 6–7
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3Naomi Osaka and Shuai Zhang have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Japan Open Tokyo in 2016 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 6 sets to Zhang's 7. Their most recent meeting: Shuai Zhang won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 2, Zhang 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 9, 2018
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 5, 2017
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 8, 2017
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 15, 2016
Japan Open Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Zhang's 30%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | L 57 61 67 | L 36 26 |
| Maria Timofeeva | W 63 36 63 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 46 | L 36 57 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 76 76 | W 64 61 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 46 26 | L 36 26 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W | W 64 57 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 61 | W 62 64 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–63 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 52% |
| Sets won | 68% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.