Naomi Osaka vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#54 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Naomi Osaka and Peyton Stearns have met 1 time since 2025; Peyton Stearns leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 1 sets to Stearns's 2. Their most recent meeting: Peyton Stearns won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 12, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Stearns's 40%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | L 57 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 61 63 | L 16 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 61 | W 64 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 63 61 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 67 36 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–43 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 51% |
| Sets won | 67% | 53% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.