Max Dahlin vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Max Dahlin and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Dahlin has taken 1 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dahlin | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Max Dahlin | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 43% | 3/7 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 6/11 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 3/6 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 5/5 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dahlin 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dahlin
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dahlin | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Max Dahlin | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dahlin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.85 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +37.8% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | +1.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dahlin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 311 mi · 501 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | GER → SUI | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommaso Compagnucci
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Daniel Elahi Galan
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tom Gentzsch
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Matteo Martineau
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Raphael Perot
M15 Ann Arbor 1 · Semifinals
Sep 27
Evan Bynoe
M15 Ann Arbor 1 · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–64 matches
| Metric | Dahlin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dahlin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dahlin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.