Matteo Berrettini vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Berrettini and Taro Daniel have met 6 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Berrettini leads 3–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 10 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Valencia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 2, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 13, 2026
Valencia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 10, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 1, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2021
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay · Semifinals
May 2, 2018
Istanbul
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | +2.9% | +63.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.20u | +12.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Berrettini's 50%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Coria | W 75 75 | W 60 62 |
| Emilio Nava | L 36 46 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–56 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 63% |
| Sets won | 56% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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