Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Wilson LeitePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
44 meetings ยท sets 6โ2

๐ง๐ทWilson Leite
#713 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
3Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Wilson Leite have met 4 times since 2022; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Salvador De Bahia Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 3โ1. Almeida has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Almeida has taken 6 sets to Leite's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at M25 Lujan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pucinelli De Almeida | Leite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Wilson Leite | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 31/43 | 63% | 19/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 37% | 23/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 18/40 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 38/45 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pucinelli De Almeida 3, Leite 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Almeida
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Leite
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Wilson Leite are โ๏ธ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2026
M25 Lujan
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 19, 2025
Costa do Sauipe
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 10, 2025
Santa Fe Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
May 3, 2022
Salvador De Bahia Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Almeida | Leite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Wilson Leite | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 23/28 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 10/28 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 3/28 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Almeida | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16โ6 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | -12.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.45u | -1.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Almeida | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 684 mi ยท 1,101 km | โ |
| Route | GER โ GBR | BRA โ PAR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Leite's 10%).
| Opponent | Almeida | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | W 63 46 62 | L 36 63 06 |
| Laelson Rodrigues | W 61 63 | L 16 26 |
| Hernan Casanova | W 57 63 62 | L 46 76 26 |
| Daniel Antonio Nunez | W 62 60 | L 63 16 26 |
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | W 75 63 | L 57 36 |
| Ezequiel Monferrer | W 60 10 | L 62 67 36 |
| Thiago Cigarran | W 61 63 | L 46 36 |
| Lucio Ratti | L 16 46 | L 36 16 |
| Bruno Kuzuhara | W 63 75 | W 76 36 63 |
| Nicolas Kicker | L 46 63 46 | L 36 62 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
M15 Asuncion ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Mateus Alves
M15 Sao Paulo ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Sao Paulo ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Sao Paulo ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Conner Huertas del Pino
M15 Sao Paulo ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Nick Hardt
Piracicaba Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 26
Filipe Bullamah
Piracicaba Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 63โ68 matches
| Metric | Almeida | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 48% |
| Sets won | 61% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Almeida | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Almeida | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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